Estratto dalla pubblicazione: Historic Developments in the Evolution of Earthquake Engineering
Quote:

As a person, Charles Richter was a sort of seismological curmudgeon and was quite outspoken in his criticism. In a paper he
published in BSSA in 1977 he said, “Journalists and the general public rush to any suggestion of earthquake prediction like hogs
toward a full trough. Prediction provides a happy hunting ground for amateurs, cranks, and outright publicity-seeking fakers.
The vaporings of such people are from time to time seized upon by the news media who then encroach on the time of men who
are occupied in serious research. Earthquake prediction is a particular annoyance to earthquake engineers, and it is still causing
problems. Trying to get rid of earthquake prediction is like trying to kill a snake by chopping off its head and finding that the
two parts then immediately grow back together again.”

"Data speak for themselves" -Reverend Thomas Bayes 1702-1761
P(Ai|E)=(P(E|Ai)P(Ai))/P(E)